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Stocks Trade DownThe Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 18,128.66, down -200.38 or -1.09%. S&P 500 closed at 2,136.73 down -26.93 or -1.24%. Nasdaq Composite closed at 5,246.79 down -81.88 or -1.54%.Long Term Market Timing Signals
The chart above shows a red arrow when the Trend Momentum is going down and the rank crosses 0 from a bull market to a bear market. A green arrow is shown when the Trend Momentum is going up and the rank crosses 0 from a bear market to a bull market.
Market conditions are Bearish in a Bull Market as of 2016-10-11. This means traders and investors should consider trading with a Bearish bias by raising stop levels on winners and selling losers. Aggressive traders should consider buying put options or shorting stocks with 10% or less of their portfolio. The rank of the Bull Market is 4.18. The Most recent Buy Signal came on Jun 8, 2016."My #1 Rule: Don't Buy Options" The sad truth is that options buyers lose money on 7 of every 10 trades. They place high-risk trades, hoping for a big payout. But they lose – a LOT! That's why I don't buy options. Instead, I flip them on their head and do "this" with them. I make money 85% of the time! For a limited time, I'm guaranteeing you at least $67,548 per year in profitable options trades if you follow this easy step-by-step process. To learn my options secret, click here. Short Term Market Timing Signals
The short term market timing portion of the newsletter shows a combination of all three indicators on one graph, the momentum, breadth and sentiment indicators. The red and green arrows on the chart above the indicator chart will show each time these indicators gave confirmation or confluence that meet the buy or sell criteria. When market conditions are at extreme levels this group of indicators will find reversal ranges. If you see multiple arrows stacked one on the other each represents the day that the confirmation signal was still in place. Sell Signals are generated when sentiment is above breadth and Breadth is above momentum and all are above 90. Buy signals are generated when momentum is lower than breadth, breadth is lower than sentiment and both breadth and momentum are lower than 40. Values shown for Momentum, Breadth and Sentiment on the above charts do not match those of the ones below, data has been normalized here. Evaluate those charts individually.
Momentum IndicatorThe Momentum Indicator is currently at -89.46 indicating a bearish trend in stocks. Risk of a short term trend reversal is low. This means the current bearish short term trend is likely to continue. Extreme measures of this trend range are -70 to -140. This indicator's trend cycle extremes take place every 3 to 6 months.
The vertical buy and sell lines will only show a new line if a subsequent buy or sell signal has already been generated. For example, the indicator may be showing that it is in the buy range but there will not be a new buy Signal vertical line on the chart if there has not yet been a sell signal.
Breadth IndicatorThe Breadth Indicator is currently at 32.74 indicating the breadth of stocks moving higher is neutral. Risk of a trend reversal low. This means the current trend is likely to continue. Extreme measures of this trend range are 30 to 65. This indicator's trend cycle extremes take place every 3 to 6 months.
The vertical buy and sell lines will only show a new line if a subsequent buy or sell signal has already been generated. For example, the indicator may be showing that it is in the buy range but there will not be a new buy Signal vertical line on the chart if there has not yet been a sell signal.
Sentiment IndicatorThe Sentiment Indicator is currently at 96.65 indicating the sentiment in the stock market is showing extreme complacency. Risk of a long term bearish trend reversal is extreme. This means the current long term bullish trend is NOT likely to continue. Extreme measures of this trend range are 95 to 100. This indicator's trend cycle extremes take place every 18 to 24 months.
The vertical buy and sell lines will only show a new line if a subsequent buy or sell signal has already been generated. For example, the indicator may be showing that it is in the buy range but there will not be a new buy Signal vertical line on the chart if there has not yet been a sell signal.
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